Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 3.562401 3.785793 4.025346 4.303020 4.618212 4.967573 5.387953
2025-05-11 3.286412 3.594260 3.943169 4.373887 4.900204 5.535168 6.380719
2025-05-18 3.038363 3.394939 3.816532 4.363963 5.076168 6.004336 7.371221
2025-05-25 2.781913 3.155292 3.610236 4.223462 5.060931 6.223712 8.096380
2025-06-01 2.607500 2.997294 3.485366 4.166624 5.141933 6.586885 9.156378
2025-06-08 2.469572 2.871748 3.387489 4.130358 5.241795 6.997078 10.467776
2025-06-15 2.372171 2.789249 3.336643 4.150215 5.424197 7.581487 12.425900
2025-06-22 2.250243 2.665105 3.217975 4.057230 5.413736 7.830658 13.840088
2025-06-29 2.127182 2.531663 3.076312 3.915189 5.301626 7.865101 14.768515
2025-07-06 2.035933 2.436004 2.980881 3.833801 5.279533 8.071223 16.384671
2025-07-13 2.014819 2.434437 3.018117 3.960123 5.637339 9.177417 22.525565
2025-07-20 1.978456 2.408963 3.017906 4.025400 5.895121 10.171071 31.088533
2025-07-27 1.949104 2.397131 3.044988 4.153371 6.333460 11.965413 59.680898
2025-08-03 1.901751 2.356988 3.026651 4.203312 6.632244 13.644323 161.520071
2025-08-10 1.842279 2.296029 2.971887 4.183181 6.778106 14.995630 18688.676757
2025-08-17 1.762715 2.201736 2.858924 4.046216 6.628935 15.143747 NaN
2025-08-24 1.705807 2.138677 2.792186 3.989183 6.663608 16.154745 NaN
2025-08-31 1.657400 2.086121 2.739136 3.952740 6.743778 17.525456 NaN
2025-09-07 1.622778 2.052679 2.714940 3.969045 6.965920 20.048498 NaN
2025-09-14 1.571356 1.991507 2.641645 3.882053 6.892895 20.759826 NaN
2025-09-21 1.514814 1.920618 2.549134 3.750151 6.674907 20.300946 NaN
2025-09-28 1.471717 1.869015 2.486663 3.674402 6.605790 20.937953 NaN
2025-10-05 1.465218 1.873354 2.517829 3.790708 7.120298 27.715445 NaN